Interesting Information
We wanted to give you some insights to think about before you make your next wager. Let's start with turf racing. If the field is less then 10 horses the grass will favor all the inside horses, forget about the odds here. When the horses turn for home all jockey's know that they will lose their footing on the last turn especially if they are wide. Horses that save the ground on the inside have a better chance of winning, and forget about their past performances. Do yourself a favor and use a few of the inside horses in a pick 3 and see how you do. This pertains to all tracks with turf racing. If there are more then 10 horses in a field take a shot and use the outside horses in small doubles and picks. Let's forget about the odds for a moment and take this angle play. Don't burn a lot of money here, but take a chance and see how it unfolds. When horses get floated wide on the turf they lose momentum and their footing. They slip no matter what kind of shoes they are wearing. We've scored on some huge plays just using this small angle play. On young horses handicappers go by breeding, it's a huge misconception. Listen I have a full sister that's a doctor and I'm a blue collar guy? The same reasoning goes for horses, how many times have you seen a full blooded brother turn out to be something special? Chances are never! It means nothing, and don't let the handicapper go on and tell you otherwise, they are talking out their asshole. Some trainers have better records with babies, we will go on that angle for a minute. Todd Pletcher is one trainer that excels with youngsters, but watch the works on these. They usually break from the gate good go to the lead and try and never look back. That's great if it works, but where do they go from there? You usually don't find them racing to many times like that after the 1st time. Look for a horse with modest works, forget about the breeding. If it's a sloppy track use a horse that's in the middle of the field, the outside horses will usually break bad and the inside is probably to muddy to get traction, the middle is the place to be. If you see a jockey in the race before try using part of the track that might be formidable then give it a whirl, jockeys are pretty smart. A filly and mare race is harder to hit, so you may want to stay away we say this because sometimes it takes a long time for a filly to wake up and grow up. Not that they're not smart it's just how they are trained usually a owner wants to rush them along because it's costing them a lot of money. If you see a filly that has spread out works and might seem behind the eight ball those are the ones you want to bet. Trainers need to go slower with fillies but you don't see that happening, if a owner is patient with a mare chances are you can make a nice score and they will last longer. The trainers don't need to be that hard on their training regiment.
Drop Downs
This is a angle we love, and for any reason then to stay away from them. Whenever you see a horse make a drop down there are only 2 reasons, the horse is not sound and the owner wants them gone. There are no other reasons you can tell me, if a horse is not that fast chances are they are hurting! I don't care who the jockey is throw the horse out, makes so sense to bet them and there is no value there. There was a poll done in 2015 about horses that drop 2 classes and the odds from them winning were at a staggering low, try 4%. That's why you can't bet your money on these kind. If you see a horse trying the turf after 20 dismal tries on the dirt chances are the trainer is at a loss for why they are so bad and giving them a shot to redeem themselves. Another waste of money. But if you see a turf bred horse that's trying the dirt for the first time I don't care what the odds are bet them. This is a value angle play, this is a positive angle play, any jockey will tell you some horses just don't like the grass even though breeding will tell you otherwise. In turf racing horses get bumped all over the track and many hate it but dirt racing is different they don't have the headache of getting jostled around so much. Some though hate getting hit in the face with dirt but some horses will excel. It's definately worth a play though in our eyes. Jockey's are another thing to watch, some ride better on the grass some ride better on the dirt. If you see a top grass jockey get on a turf first timer chances are they sat on them in the morning and know them a little better and if they are a top turf jock they probably had a choice of which horse to take, they were probably listed on a few horses in the same race. Just something to look for. I'm not buying that some trainers are better turf trainers, it's the horse my friend. I've seen one million dollar horses that can't run a lick and 20,000 horses run there eyeballs out. Sometime I think that tracks pay their handicappers to steer people away from winners, I mean they have to make money also? It's amazing on how many times they are wrong per day? If that was another job they would be fired for being wrong so many times wouldn't they? The moral of the story here is not to listen to the handicappers and don't look at the odds, this is what they want! They are forcing people to bet certain horses through their so called knowledge-and trust me you have just as much knowledge as they do-they are using a form of psychiatric measuring on you to bet the wrong animal. They won't tell you that obviously but look who is paying their salary! It doesn't take a brain surgeon to figure this out. Some handicappers are believable, they can talk a good game some should of been in the used car business. Try and write down for a week what the track handicapper picked and then look at the results, you'll laugh on how many times they are wrong. Just something to keep in the back of your head.
We wanted to give you some insights to think about before you make your next wager. Let's start with turf racing. If the field is less then 10 horses the grass will favor all the inside horses, forget about the odds here. When the horses turn for home all jockey's know that they will lose their footing on the last turn especially if they are wide. Horses that save the ground on the inside have a better chance of winning, and forget about their past performances. Do yourself a favor and use a few of the inside horses in a pick 3 and see how you do. This pertains to all tracks with turf racing. If there are more then 10 horses in a field take a shot and use the outside horses in small doubles and picks. Let's forget about the odds for a moment and take this angle play. Don't burn a lot of money here, but take a chance and see how it unfolds. When horses get floated wide on the turf they lose momentum and their footing. They slip no matter what kind of shoes they are wearing. We've scored on some huge plays just using this small angle play. On young horses handicappers go by breeding, it's a huge misconception. Listen I have a full sister that's a doctor and I'm a blue collar guy? The same reasoning goes for horses, how many times have you seen a full blooded brother turn out to be something special? Chances are never! It means nothing, and don't let the handicapper go on and tell you otherwise, they are talking out their asshole. Some trainers have better records with babies, we will go on that angle for a minute. Todd Pletcher is one trainer that excels with youngsters, but watch the works on these. They usually break from the gate good go to the lead and try and never look back. That's great if it works, but where do they go from there? You usually don't find them racing to many times like that after the 1st time. Look for a horse with modest works, forget about the breeding. If it's a sloppy track use a horse that's in the middle of the field, the outside horses will usually break bad and the inside is probably to muddy to get traction, the middle is the place to be. If you see a jockey in the race before try using part of the track that might be formidable then give it a whirl, jockeys are pretty smart. A filly and mare race is harder to hit, so you may want to stay away we say this because sometimes it takes a long time for a filly to wake up and grow up. Not that they're not smart it's just how they are trained usually a owner wants to rush them along because it's costing them a lot of money. If you see a filly that has spread out works and might seem behind the eight ball those are the ones you want to bet. Trainers need to go slower with fillies but you don't see that happening, if a owner is patient with a mare chances are you can make a nice score and they will last longer. The trainers don't need to be that hard on their training regiment.
Drop Downs
This is a angle we love, and for any reason then to stay away from them. Whenever you see a horse make a drop down there are only 2 reasons, the horse is not sound and the owner wants them gone. There are no other reasons you can tell me, if a horse is not that fast chances are they are hurting! I don't care who the jockey is throw the horse out, makes so sense to bet them and there is no value there. There was a poll done in 2015 about horses that drop 2 classes and the odds from them winning were at a staggering low, try 4%. That's why you can't bet your money on these kind. If you see a horse trying the turf after 20 dismal tries on the dirt chances are the trainer is at a loss for why they are so bad and giving them a shot to redeem themselves. Another waste of money. But if you see a turf bred horse that's trying the dirt for the first time I don't care what the odds are bet them. This is a value angle play, this is a positive angle play, any jockey will tell you some horses just don't like the grass even though breeding will tell you otherwise. In turf racing horses get bumped all over the track and many hate it but dirt racing is different they don't have the headache of getting jostled around so much. Some though hate getting hit in the face with dirt but some horses will excel. It's definately worth a play though in our eyes. Jockey's are another thing to watch, some ride better on the grass some ride better on the dirt. If you see a top grass jockey get on a turf first timer chances are they sat on them in the morning and know them a little better and if they are a top turf jock they probably had a choice of which horse to take, they were probably listed on a few horses in the same race. Just something to look for. I'm not buying that some trainers are better turf trainers, it's the horse my friend. I've seen one million dollar horses that can't run a lick and 20,000 horses run there eyeballs out. Sometime I think that tracks pay their handicappers to steer people away from winners, I mean they have to make money also? It's amazing on how many times they are wrong per day? If that was another job they would be fired for being wrong so many times wouldn't they? The moral of the story here is not to listen to the handicappers and don't look at the odds, this is what they want! They are forcing people to bet certain horses through their so called knowledge-and trust me you have just as much knowledge as they do-they are using a form of psychiatric measuring on you to bet the wrong animal. They won't tell you that obviously but look who is paying their salary! It doesn't take a brain surgeon to figure this out. Some handicappers are believable, they can talk a good game some should of been in the used car business. Try and write down for a week what the track handicapper picked and then look at the results, you'll laugh on how many times they are wrong. Just something to keep in the back of your head.
